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Autos: Can MI get around the corner?


By John Bebow - December 5, 2008

If Michigan residents can have the patience and stamina to hang in, is it possible that a stronger, albeit smaller, auto economy could actually help revive the state in a few years?

It's quite possible, argues, David Cole, chair of the Center for Automotive Research. Cole, as reported by Gongwer News Service, told a Michigan legislative panel this week that Detroit's Big Three automakers are poised for recovery if they can endure the national recession and credit crunch..

"In testimony to the Senate Commerce and Tourism Committee, Mr. Cole said General Motors, Ford and Chrysler are on the right track to recover with the kinds of vehicles under development, development in Michigan of alternative fuel systems, new labor contracts, pent up demand, new technology including green vehicles and other factors," Gongwer reported. "'The long term looks good,' Mr. Cole said. 'It's the short term that's the problem.' He said the companies do need stability they are seeking, noting the costs of the loans pale in comparison to the impact of failure by the companies."

Other memorable sights from a week future Michigan historians will study for decades…

THE WALL STREET JOURNAL ON MONDAY: Foreign-owned auto companies in America "operate under conditions imposed by the free market. Detroit lives on Fantasy Island. Consider labor costs. Take-home wages at the U.S. car makers average $28.42 an hour, according to the Center for Automotive Research. That's on par with $26 at Toyota, $24 at Honda and $21 at Hyundai. But include benefits, and the picture changes. Hourly labor costs are $44.20 on average for the non-Detroit producers, in line with most manufacturing jobs, but are $73.21 for Detroit. This $29 cost gap reflects the way Big Three management and unions have conspired to make themselves uncompetitive — increasingly so as their market share has collapsed (see the nearby chart). Over the decades the United Auto Workers won pension and health-care benefits far more generous than in almost any other American industry. As a result, for every UAW member working at a U.S. car maker today, three retirees collect benefits; at GM, the ratio is 4.6 to one."

THE UAW ON WEDNESDAY: "It's going to be hard on the membership, but in the end, it's about economic survival," Frank Fabrizio, president of UAW Local 600 in Dearborn, tells the Detroit Free Press as the UAW announces it will open up its national labor agreements for further concessions, including suspension of the jobs bank (the national lightning rod of 20th Century entitlement).

FREEP'S TOM WALSH ON THURSDAY: "Don't be surprised if a puzzled lawmaker also smells desperation in the GM plan and asks Wagoner: 'Let me get this straight, you have been losing money for years and losing market share to foreign rivals for decades, but suddenly, in just the past two weeks, you've got all kinds of new ideas for saving money and reinventing your company?' A banner ad for Hyundai job openings in Ann Arbor is among the commercial messages rotating above Walsh's column.

COMERICA'S CHIEF ECONOMIST ON THURSDAY: Bankruptcies or no, tens of thousands more auto jobs will be lost in 2009.

FRIDAY: ONE OF THESE THINGS IS NOT LIKE THE OTHERS: In a front-page letter to Congress and the Nation, the Detroit Free Press urges financial support for Detroit's Big Three or "there will be bleeding throughout the land." Briefly Friday morning, the online version of the editorial is accompanied by an advertisement for Kia.

4 Comments

  1. Posted December 5, 2008 at 12:31 pm | Permalink

    Michigan should issue its own currency and loan it out at low interest. It is in the people's interest to keep a car industry in this state.

    State currency would free Michigan from the banker controlled Federal Reserve System with its engineered depressions and recessions.
    http://wraft.blogspot.com

  2. Alfred boggs
    Posted December 5, 2008 at 12:54 pm | Permalink

    As I read these comments about the auto workers I realize how ignorant some of our most read writers in this country really are. They try to compare them selves to auto workers in that the auto workers take home $28.00 per hour. That is their gross pay not their take home.The writers generally work for themselves as an indepentent business, Paying their taxes quarterly and yes taking home their gross pay.Auto workers will generally have at least 25% witheld from their pay. This is quite a bit different.Nothing like being there and done that. Al Boggs

  3. dale westrick
    Posted December 5, 2008 at 1:41 pm | Permalink

    I have an idea that might get the big three through the until they can be profitable again. Have the retirees take half of there pension and invest it in the company for 6 months(I will be willing to invest all of my pension (which I believe is $78.00 for 13 years of service I had at GM.)This might possibly give them enough money to operate on and show congress that they are serious about building cars that the consumer wants. ( Did I fail to mention that I quit GM over 30 years ago not because I disliked the company but I was not allowed to contribute to the best of my ability to make it a profitable organization.)
    It has taken us over 30 years to get to the point we are now but if we the retires work together and help the company as I have proposed it can be turned around and can not take 30 years.
    The retires money could be used to buy stock in the their company at the present level. It would show support of the retires to the future of the company.
    Sincerly
    Dale Westrick Inventive Solutions

  4. Jeff Salisbury
    Posted December 5, 2008 at 2:57 pm | Permalink

    All of the "the sky is falling" rants can be overcome by building cars people want, selling them without rebates or other tricks.
    Detroit never complained about union wages & benefits, health care costs, retiree pensions, etc. when they were selling big trucks and SUVs for full sticker and fat profit.
    Detroit is not a victim of this economy. Detroit is a victim of its own hubris.
    Build cars people want to buy.
    It’s really that simple.

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