SPECIAL REPORT: Statewide voters overwhelmingly pass tax levies

By Chris Andrews

Faced with choices between fixing roads or paying less in taxes, Michigan voters overwhelmingly opted for smoother streets in the Aug. 3 election. They also opened their wallets for fire and police departments, for senior citizens and libraries.

Across the state, voters approved 86 percent of the 623 ballot proposals affecting how much they would pay in taxes or, in a few cases, fees, according to a Center for Michigan analysis. They OK’d 96 percent of the requests to either renew taxes or restore rates that had been reduced by the Headlee amendment in the Michigan Constitution.

And perhaps most surprising: They supported to 69 percent of the proposals that were flat-out tax increases.

“The findings are pretty stunning,” said Tom Ivacko, manager of the Center for Local, State and Urban Policy at the University of Michigan. “My guess is people are starting to really feel the effect of government cutbacks.”

Douglas Roberts, director of the Michigan State University Institute of Public Policy and Social Research, agreed that the support of tax proposals was surprisingly strong. “Looking at this data, it certainly indicates that at the moment, there doesn’t seem to be a tax revolt.”

There were no statewide ballot proposals in the primary election, but hundreds of cash-strapped counties, cities, townships, villages, schools, and libraries asked voters for money. The outcomes are especially impressive coming against a backdrop of high unemployment, shrinking incomes and plunging home values.

The state does not compile data on the local ballot proposals, as Roberts learned when he was Michigan’s state treasurer. The Center for Michigan analyzed results from county and local websites as well as media reports to compile unofficial results.

Among the key findings:

  • In the vast majority of cases, local governments earmarked the money for specific uses, rather than general operations. The most common requests came for roads and fire departments. In several cases they asked for money to combat mosquitoes.
  • Voters said yes, yes and yes to proposals supporting senior citizens. All 45 senior-related ballot initiatives were approved.
  • Voters driving to the polls seem to have noticed that their roads are falling apart. Some 85 percent of the requests to fix roads passed.
  • Ninety-four percent of proposals to support firefighters passed.
  • Local governments have been slammed in recent years by the one-two punch of reduced state aid and, more recently, declining property tax revenue resulting from lower housing values and the foreclosure crisis. The state of Michigan has slashed revenue-sharing to cities, townships and villages by nearly $390 million since fiscal 2001, a 29 percent reduction, according to the Senate Fiscal Agency.

    Local officials have had to take a variety of steps to keep the books balanced. Some have reduced personnel costs by layoffs, unpaid furlough days or leaving positions vacant. Some have closed offices on Fridays. Others are paving fewer roads, closing fire stations, plowing snow less often, or cutting back on parks maintenance.

    The voters may be coming to understand that they will pay one way or another, CLOSUP’s Ivacko said. If cuts go too far in fire protection, people will pay more on their home insurance. If the roads are crumbling, their cars may end up in the shop.

    “The low-hanging fruit were gone a long time ago,” he said. “These are the services that people see. These are things that hit people pretty squarely in the face.”

    Roberts said the success of local governments in enacting millages was even more impressive in a primary election, when voter turnout is much lower than in general elections. Voters who are stirred up — for instance, angry about taxes — are more motivated to show up.

    “The locals may have done a whole lot better job of selling it, and the compliments should go to the groups that are in effect going to the public and saying, ‘This is what we are using it (tax money) for. We want you to think about it, and we think it’s a good use of your funds,’” he said.

    Selective Services

    In 95 percent of the proposals, local officials chose to target the money they were requesting for specific purposes. Voters were more skeptical when they didn’t how it would be spent.

    A smaller percentage — but still 68 percent — of the general operations proposals passed. Four of seven tax increases for general operations were approved.

    Ivacko noted that media reports on pay and benefits for public sector employees have raised concerns about how tax dollars are used. “My guess is most citizens are not interested in raising their taxes if that’s what the money is going to go for,” he said. “So if it was simply a general operating millage that wasn’t earmarked for some specific service, there will be significantly less support among the public.”

    Here is a look at how ballot measures for specific purposes fared.

    Fighting Fire with Taxes

    All proposals: 94 percent of 131 passed
    Tax increases: 82 percent of 40 passed
    Renewals or Headlee proposals: 99 percent of 91 pass

    It’s safe to say that if their houses catches on fire, voters would like someone to come in a hurry with hoses. They resoundingly approved tax measures to support fire departments, including 82 percent of the tax increases.

    Fire services were the most commonly requested tax proposals — 131 for fire services, 12 for fire and emergency services and 11 for fire and police services combined. David Bertram, legislative liaison for the Michigan Townships Association, said residents realize that in some cases, fire departments may shut down without the tax support requested in the ballot proposals.

    Voters were less likely to support proposals splitting additional revenue between police and fire. They OK’d all six renewals but turned down three of five increases.

    Fixing the Roads

    All proposals: 85 percent of 136 requests pass
    Tax increases: 60 percent of 48 requests pass
    Renewals or Headlee rollbacks: 98 percent of 88 requests pass

    Next to requests for fire services support, local governments went to the voters most often seeking money for roads. Voters overwhelmingly said yes.

    Charles Ballard, an MSU economist, understands why. Voters can see easily enough their roads are falling apart. He noted that Mount Hope Road, a well-traveled road on the southern edge of the MSU campus, is so bad, “I just hope that when I hit those potholes they are not bad enough to activate my airbag.”

    Bertram, of the townships association, said he has been telling legislators for years that when they cut revenue-sharing money to local governments, it diminishes their ability to maintain the streets. “We are 50th in the nation in getting money for roads from state and local resources. We’re dead last,” he said. “This is a symptom of that.”

    Supporting the Seniors

    Total proposals: 100 percent of 45 requests pass
    Tax increases: 100 percent of 12 requests pass
    Renewals or Headlee rollbacks: 100 percent of 33 requests pass

    Arguably the most striking finding of the Center for Michigan analysis is this: In every case, voters supported tax proposals to support senior citizens.

    “It’s fascinating that 100 percent would pass. This is a lot of proposals,” said Roberts of MSU’s Institute for Public Policy and Social Research.

    Part of the explanation no doubt is the relatively high percentage of seniors who cast ballots. But Ballard, said it is also consistent with other public policies, such as Social Security, Medicare and state income tax laws, all of which treat senior citizens favorably.

    “There is a lot of political support for seniors, not just from the seniors themselves, but from throughout the population,” he said. “I think that’s because a lot of people think I’m not old now, but I’d like to be old someday. I’d like to find out what it’s like to be old.”

    Levies for libraries

    Total proposals: 87 percent of 38 requests pass
    Tax increases: 77 percent of 22 requests pass
    Renewals or Headlee rollbacks: 100 percent of 16 requests pass

    One might expect libraries to fit into the “nice but not necessary” category of taxpayer priorities in tight times, but voters approved every renewal request and the vast majority of proposals raising taxes.

    Bertram said the results are yet another example of how cuts in funding are having impacts that citizens can easily see.

    “People realize libraries are going to close, fire departments are going to shut down, and local services they desire and want are going to be shut off if these things don’t pass,” he said. “I don’t think anyone is wanting to pay more in taxes. I think it has everything to do with residents feeling boxed in.”

    Trusting the Locals

    Some of the success in local ballot initiatives is a testament to the confidence that people have in their local governments.

    Ballard, the MSU economist, conducts Michigan State University’s State of the State surveys to measure the mood of Michigan residents. Voters typically have more confidence in local government than state government, and more confidence in state government than the federal government. About 39 percent said they trust local government most of the time — not great, but more than twice the confidence in state and federal government.

    In the past few years, voters have become fed up with state government as leaders have been unable to resolve budget issues, typically in an atmosphere of partisan bickering. Less than 16 percent trusted state government most of the time in the most recent survey.

    “The big story in the last couple of surveys is that trust in local government remains about where it was, while trust in state government has just plummeted,” he said. “If there were statewide ballot proposals, I don’t know how they’d do.”

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    Corrections Reform Coalition looks ahead to 2011

    For nearly two years, the Center for Michigan and a coalition of Lansing-based interest groups have urged greater attention to the overwhelming cost of Michigan’s prison system.

    On Thursday, the Corrections Reform Coalition turned its attention to Michigan’s next governor.

    Seven business organizations, the Center for Michigan, and the Presidents Council State Universities of Michigan signed letters to Virg Bernero and Rick Snyder urging them to enact “sweeping prison system reforms” if elected in November.

    Despite a declining prison population, prison costs are still on the rise. The Michigan Department of Corrections accounts for nearly one-quarter of the state general fund budget.

    “We must look at personnel costs, prisoner health care costs, and other potential management efficiencies,” the coalition wrote to the gubernatorial candidates. “We must look systematically at who we imprison for which crimes and for how long. We must strengthen re-entry programs to assure parolees find productive employment an avoid re-incarceration.”

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    Freep joins Great Debates coalition

    As the Bernero and Snyder campaigns sift through growing stacks of invitations for fall debates and campaign appearances, The Detroit Free Press has enthusiastically endorsed the Great Debates 2010 program on public television.

    Coordinated by the Center for Michigan and sponsored by 20 statewide business, labor, education and nonprofit organizations, Great Debates 2010 seeks to host 50 legislative debates as well as a gubernatorial debate this fall.

    See the Freep’s letters of endorsement for the Great Debates to Bernero and Snyder.

    Read the Great Debates invitations to Bernero and Snyder.

    Watch previous debates here.

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    Michigan through the eyes of small businesses and entrepreneurs

    Any worker in Michigan knows the difficulty of the past decade. But what about the future? What will it take to improve the prospects for prosperity?

    In the eyes of Rob Fowler, the president and CEO of the Small Business Association of Michigan, the state’s competitive stake in the global economy will increasingly rely on “economic gardening.”

    “Economic gardening is the opposite of traditional economic development strategies that involve attracting companies from outside the state,” Fowler says. “This is a grow-your-own, bootstrapping strategy. Embracing economic gardening will make Michigan a more entrepreneurial place, with a more entrepreneurial culture that supports the growth and establishment of small businesses.”

    Of course, there once was a time when folks named “Dow,” “Ford,” and “Kellogg,” started out as economic gardeners and grew businesses that largely shaped Michigan’s economy throughout the 20th Century.

    So, what are the prospects for economic gardening today? SBAM answers that question in its latest Michigan Entrepreneurship Scorecard released this summer. The results suggest all sorts of punch lists for Michigan’s next governor…

    ECONOMIC ACTIVITY: No big surprises here. Michigan is at or near the bottom for overall growth in gross domestic product, foreign direct investment, and unemployment.

    ENTREPRENEURIAL CLIMATE: Michigan is near the bottom in growth in the number of small businesses and small business payroll. We’re 19th in terms of university spin-out businesses, 15th in university R & D. One of our best rankings is 4th in industry R & D.

    ACCESS TO CAPITAL: Commercial lending dropped 56 percent in Michigan from 2005 to 2008 — no surprise given the national tightening of credit. Michigan ranks 23rd nationally for commercial lending. But here’s a pleasant surprise… Private lending to small businesses has held up very well – Michigan ranks 5th among all states. We’re mediocre in terms of venture capital (24th) and business incubators (37th).

    COST OF DOING BUSINESS: Following SBAM’s “economic gardening” theory, costs of doing businesses should be considered more in regard to the climate for creating businesses in Michigan more than the climate for moving businesses to Michigan. Either way, our costs of doing business are less-than-conducive. In terms of business tax burden, we’re 27th, but our business tax structure is 48th. Labor costs are 43rd (or seventh worst). Other measures also lag…. Workers’ compensation costs (21st), unemployment insurance costs (47th), health care premiums (20th), and metro office rental rates (17th).

    THE GREENING OF MICHIGAN?: Gov. Jennifer Granholm has staked a good part of her legacy on next-generation wind and battery power and other forms of “green” industry. But the overall share of Michigan’s economy devoted to green industries actually decreased 3 percent from 2005 to 2008 and Michigan’s green industry ranks a meager 36th nationally. Water quality is a bit of a concern, too. Despite the bounty of the Great Lakes, Michigan ranks only 14th nationally for water quality — nearly 4 percent of the state population is served by water systems that reported health violations in 2008.

    EDUCATION & TALENT
    : Student test score rankings for math (35th) and reading (32nd) are far from stellar. College affordability is a growing problem — Michigan rank’s 36th. And Michigan failed to move the needle on bachelor’s degree attainment from 2005-2008 — we rank 34th nationally.

    MICHIGAN VANILLA: By many and diverse measures, Michigan is just plain middle of the pack, regardless of the considerable amounts of gushing pride many residents feel about the state’s Great Lakes, cultural gems, and quirky places. Among all states, we rank in the middle of the pack on charitable giving, commute times, disposable income, state and local tax burden, and crime.

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    Michigan’s first constituents

    The campaign mantra this fall will be “jobs, jobs, jobs.”

    Much of the budget reality once a new governor and dozens of new legislators reach Lansing will be “kids, kids, kids.”

    Human services and K-12 programs account big portions of the state budget. Kids who fall through the cracks and end ultimately end up in prison account for another big budget slice.

    And, by the latest measure, Michigan kids are falling a bit further behind as the state’s decade-long recession lingers longer.

    Michigan dropped three spots, to 30th among the states for kids’ well being, according to the 2010 Kids Count Data Book just released by the Annie E. Casey Foundation.

    But the news is not all bad. Despite the economy, Michigan has made strides this decade on several key kids benchmarks. Infant, child, and teen death rates have all dropped in recent years.

    Yet one out of five Michigan children lives in poverty.

    One out of three Michigan children live in families where neither parent has full-time, year-round employment.

    So, when it comes to kids, kids, kids, it’s also largely about jobs, jobs, jobs.

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    Thank you, readers. We’ll be back after Labor Day

    The Center for Michigan web site saw record traffic in the run up to last week’s primary elections. Readers relied on us to provide in-depth analysis of the issues in the governor’s race and to sift through the claims of campaign advertising.

    The Center’s team of reporters brought more than 150 years of Michigan journalism experience to our coverage during primary season. We’ll be back right after Labor Day with weekly special reports on the future-oriented issues that define the November election.

    Our email newsletter will go dark until Thursday, September 2, but we will continue to offer analysis of campaign ads each weekday at www.michigantruthsquad.com.

    To those of you who’ve helped us grow from 400 readers in 2006 to more than 10,000 today, we offer a GREAT BIG THANK YOU and well wishes for what remains of summer.

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    Great Debates 2010 – Bernero and Snyder got their invitations today

    Democrat Virg Bernero and Republican Rick Snyder can square off in an hour-long debate on statewide public television at the time of their choosing this fall.

    All they have to do is accept the invitation.

    The Great Debates 2010 coalition of 20 statewide business, labor, education, government, and nonprofit interest groups represent literally millions of Michigan voters.

    We sent invitations to Bernero and Snyder this morning.

    Please urge them to participate so voters get to see vigorous, nonpartisan, face-to-face discussion of the issues this fall.

    Posted in Fresh Thoughts | 4 Comments

    Election analysis – Bernero and Snyder wins get even bigger

    Virg Bernero and Rick Snyder won yesterday’s Democratic and Republican primaries even more convincingly than the statewide vote totals suggest, according to a Center for Michigan analysis of the county-by-county results.

    In the Democratic Primary, Bernero carried 72 of 83 Michigan counties — all but 11 thinly populated ones.

    On the Republican side, Snyder carried 61 counties. Mike Cox took 12 (including seven in the Upper Peninsula), and Pete Hoekstra took 10 (all in west Michigan).

    There will surely be carping from some Cox supporters claiming Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard cost the attorney general the governorship. Actually, it doesn’t look that way. Even if every Bouchard voter went for Cox instead, Cox still loses to Snyder by 14,000 votes.

    In the end, Snyder won because the conservative wing of the Republican Party divided and conquered itself.

    Had conservative voters pooled their votes behind one candidate rather than three (Bouchard, Cox, and Hoekstra), they would have out-polled Snyder by 266,000 votes.

    Now, take that bar-napkin logic one step further… Let’s say Andy Dillon wasn’t in the race and all of his votes magically transferred to Snyder. The Ann Arbor venture capitalist would have lost to a single conservative — by about 50,000 votes.

    The county-by-county details…


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    Statewide turnout analysis – the few, the proud, the voters

    In pub debates with friends and radio interviews leading up to Tuesday’s election, I pitched the idea that this was the most fascinating — and most important — primary election in Michigan since I started running around with a notebook as a cub reporter at the Traverse City Record-Eagle 20 years ago.

    There was something at the polls for everybody yesterday. No matter your political persuasion you had a horse in this race at the top of the ticket. We had liberals (Bernero), we had conservatives (Cox, Bouchard, Hoesktra), we had insiders (Dillon, Hoekstra, Cox), we had outsiders (Snyder, George), we had passionate attack dogs, milliionaires, men of the people, industrialists, environmentalists, unions, management, East, West. Truly something for everybody.

    Still, it wasn’t compelling enough for the majority of adults in Michigan.

    A Center for Michigan analysis of county-by-county vote totals from yesterday estimates that turnout statewide was just a notch under 21 percent of all state residents older than 17. That’s better than four years ago (16.9 %), but not as high at 2002 (23.3%) or 1982 (24.4%).

    So, a big round of applause to the five counties with the most engaged voters yesteday: Leelanau, Antrim, Schoolcraft, Ottawa, and Keweenaw (all above 28.5 percent voter turnout).

    And boos to those who stayed home in the bottom five: Menominee, Cass, St. Joe, Gogebic, and Marquette (all below 15.2 %). Hey, we get it… all five of those counties are about as far as you can get from the state capitol. We understand how detached many of you feel. But, 15 percent? Geez.

    So, if your only excuses were ignorance or disinterest yesterday, please do the rest of us one kind favor… Keep a lid on the hyperpartisan and often-uninformed banter that permeates talk radio… If you don’t vote, you can’t be heard anyway.

    County by county vote totals…

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    Truth Squad – don’t vote without it

    Jack Lessenberry, one of Michigan’s most experienced and sharp-tongued political commentators, gave a ringing endorsement this week to the Michigan Truth Squad

    “From now on, I wouldn’t even think of casting a vote without it,” Jack said on his public radio show.

    Well, after taking Election Day off, we’re back at it again over at Truth Squad headquarters.

    We’ll have fresh analysis of fresh ads every weekday through the November election.

    Since launching the Truth Squad in June, we’ve praised examples of clean campaigning, traced the sources of numerous anonymous attack ads, and called foul on a wide range of misleading and, in some cases, downright fictitious campaign materials.

    Help us keep the campaigns honest. Tell us what you’re hearing on TV and the radio, and send us what you’re getting in the mail from candidates.

    Together, we can help assure this election is about issues.

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